Betting markets favor trump 62 vs 38. With all of the swing states now favored to go Trump as well except for Nevada I think. I’m not 100% sure betting markets are more accurate than polls, but we do know the polls under estimated Trump in both of the last two elections, by wide margins. Im just going to leave it at that!
The 2024 data misrepresents the situation. The Information (the most important source of insights into what is happening the leadership class in SV) recently published some research into this showing that 75% of executives and VCs plan to vote for Harris. On Mr. Musk, I suspect he believes he will be president one day and that he will inherit MAGA. Meanwhile Horowitz at A18Z has walked back his support for Trump (vs. Biden) to support Harris.
Betting markets favor trump 62 vs 38. With all of the swing states now favored to go Trump as well except for Nevada I think. I’m not 100% sure betting markets are more accurate than polls, but we do know the polls under estimated Trump in both of the last two elections, by wide margins. Im just going to leave it at that!
Yes, not sure about betting market numbers.
The 2024 data misrepresents the situation. The Information (the most important source of insights into what is happening the leadership class in SV) recently published some research into this showing that 75% of executives and VCs plan to vote for Harris. On Mr. Musk, I suspect he believes he will be president one day and that he will inherit MAGA. Meanwhile Horowitz at A18Z has walked back his support for Trump (vs. Biden) to support Harris.
Musk was born in South Africa, so can't run for presidency as per US law. But yes, he may have wider ambitions.
Ahh, good point, but he may also think he can get that changed.
That thought crossed my mind too.