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Steven Forth's avatar

I hope this leads to a freer Iran, one where the rule of law is observed and the people have a real role in shaping the government. I fear this will not necessarily happen. It would be good to understand the ways in which these revolutions can have good long term outcomes. The US is one of the few countries where this worked out, and even there, they had a bloody war with England followed a few decades later by a brutal Civil War. The French went through a series of revolutions and coups, plus an enemy occupation, to get to the Fifth Republic. The more evolutionary approach of the British colonies (India, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, etc.) seems to be a more successful path, if not always successful or without its own pain. Let's hope this Iranian revolution occurs and takes Iran forward.

Pieter Dorsman's avatar

Eastern Europe after communism is also a good example.

Steven Forth's avatar

Yes, we should learn from that as well, though not all of the countries have been equally successful in this transition.

Sharon Katz's avatar

Long live the Iranian people! I am holding my breath and praying for their success in remiving their eveil regime.

I see a different logic playing when it comes to Netanyahu: his entire career was staked on defending Israel against the existential danger posed to Israel by Iran. Once the islamic regime is removed, there is no way to justify him remainimg in power.

I am concerned that the fall of the Iranian regime will make Saudi Arabia and other Suni arab countries align with Turkey against, you guessed it, Israel. Having Netanyahu as Israel PM will then help them leave Israel isolated. Whatbare your thoughts on that?

Pieter Dorsman's avatar

Yes you raise a very good point in that the Sunni countries can collaborate and not worry about Iran. That is why I mentioned Turkey, one challenge removed and the other presents itself.

Nethanyahu will use every argument he has to seek re-election. One is his success in rolling back Iran. The other will be highlighting his unique relationship with Trump, ie. ‘no other Israeli politician can get as much done in Washington as me, Bibi’